What Is Almanac? The Incentivized Prediction Market Terminal

Almanac is Sportstensor's flagship product — described as "the first incentivized prediction market terminal." It's a clean, web2-feeling trading platform for prediction markets where every trade you place is simultaneously a scored prediction that can earn crypto rewards. This guide explains what Almanac is, how it works under the hood, what it costs, and how to start trading on it.

The One-Sentence Version

Almanac lets you trade real prediction markets — sports outcomes and, more recently, 5-minute crypto markets — through an interface that feels like a normal trading app, while quietly routing your orders to Polymarket's order books and scoring your performance inside Sportstensor's AI competition (Bittensor Subnet 41).

Its tagline says the rest: "Accurate Before It's Obvious." Almanac is built to reward correct early positioning, not last-minute convergence on an outcome everyone already sees.

Why "Incentivized" Is the Key Word

Most trading terminals give you charts, an order book, and a fee. Almanac adds a third dimension: your trades are graded as predictions, and good predictions earn the SN41 token.

In a normal prediction market, a profitable trade just makes you money. In Almanac, that same trade also:

• Feeds into Sportstensor's collective intelligence (the meta-model).
• Ranks you on a public leaderboard against other traders and AI miners.
• Makes you eligible — if you register as a miner — for a share of daily SN41 emissions based on measured performance.

This is what "incentivized" means. The terminal doesn't just facilitate trades; it runs a continuous competition on top of them and pays out for genuine, repeatable edge. Being right, early, and consistently is the whole game.

How Almanac Works Under the Hood

Almanac is deliberately designed so that a first-time user never has to think about blockchains, wallets, or Bittensor. But the machinery underneath is what makes it trustworthy.

Real execution on Polymarket

When you place a trade, Almanac routes it to Polymarket's Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) in the background. You're trading against real liquidity and real-money settlement, not a synthetic in-house line. This is possible because of Sportstensor's strategic partnership with Polymarket, announced in September 2025.

Smart proxy wallets

Each account deploys a Safe smart-contract wallet. Your orders are signed using EIP-712 structured signatures — the same standard Polymarket uses — and submitted on your behalf. This gives you self-custody and on-chain settlement without the friction of manually managing a crypto wallet for every trade.

Scoring inside Subnet 41

Behind the scenes, Sportstensor's validators ingest rolling trading data from the Almanac backend each epoch and run a two-phase scoring algorithm. Over a rolling 30-day window with daily epochs, they measure your ROI, your qualified (winning) volume, and your consistency, then translate that into token rewards for registered miners. If you want the mechanics, our Subnet 41 explainer breaks the scoring down in detail.

What It Costs

Almanac's fee model is simple and unusually aligned with users: a 1% fee on winning trades only. You aren't nickel-and-dimed on every order.

Crucially, that fee isn't just revenue — it's used to buy back the SN41 token on the open market (with potential burns). This creates what Sportstensor calls an "anti-dilutive flywheel": product usage directly generates buy pressure for the token and funding for miner incentives. In other words, the more the terminal is used, the more the underlying network is reinforced.

How to Start Trading on Almanac

Getting started is a short onboarding flow at beta.almanac.market:

1. Create an account. Standard sign-up — no crypto experience assumed.
2. Deploy your Safe wallet. Almanac provisions your smart proxy wallet.
3. Sign approvals. A one-time set of approvals lets the terminal place signed orders on your behalf.
4. Fund your wallet. Deposit to give yourself trading capital.
5. (Optional) Link a Bittensor coldkey. If you want to compete as a miner and earn SN41 emissions, connect your Bittensor coldkey via a wallet extension.

From there you can browse markets, take positions, and watch your standing on the leaderboard. New to prediction-market trading generally? Our guide on how to trade sports on Polymarket covers the fundamentals that carry over directly.

Built for AI Agents, Too

Almanac treats autonomous agents as first-class participants. It offers programmatic API trading via a client that lets you generate Polymarket API credentials, create Almanac trading sessions, search markets, and place signed CLOB/proxy orders — all in code.

This is why AI trading agents such as BillyBets, Numinous, and Oddy already plug into the Sportstensor ecosystem. On Almanac, an AI agent and a human trader compete on identical terms; the system is model-agnostic and judges only results. It's an arena where genuine intelligence wins regardless of who — or what — is behind the keyboard.

What You Can Trade

Almanac launched around sports — NFL, NBA, MLB, MLS, EPL, NHL, plus UFC and esports — the leagues where Sportstensor's models have the deepest edge. In February 2026 it expanded into 5-minute crypto markets across hundreds of pairs, a fast-cycle format that stress-tests predictive models and broadens the terminal well beyond sport. The longer-term vision is a general incentivized information layer spanning finance, geopolitics, and more.

The Leaderboard and Radical Transparency

A defining feature of Almanac is that performance is public. The terminal includes a leaderboard at beta.almanac.market/leaderboard that ranks traders and miners by measured results. This isn't a vanity feature — it's core to the incentive design.

In most of the "AI betting" space, claims of accuracy are unverifiable: a tipster shows you their winners and quietly forgets their losers. Almanac inverts that. Because every trade settles on Polymarket and every result feeds the scoring engine, standings reflect real, on-chain outcomes over a rolling window — not cherry-picked screenshots. That transparency is what lets genuine edge rise to the top and keeps the whole system honest. If you're deciding where to trade, it's worth comparing that model against Polymarket versus a traditional sportsbook, where no such public accountability exists.

Almanac's Momentum

Almanac isn't a concept — it's a live product with a track record. The open beta launched in early December 2025 and the platform has been approaching $1M in total volume, a meaningful figure for a young terminal. In February 2026 it expanded beyond sports into 5-minute crypto markets across hundreds of pairs, demonstrating that the same incentivized-prediction engine generalizes to fast-cycle, high-frequency formats.

That trajectory matters for anyone evaluating the ecosystem: volume on Almanac directly powers the SN41 buyback flywheel, so growth in the terminal is growth in the token's revenue base. Usage and tokenomics are wired together by design.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Almanac free to use? There's no subscription. You only pay a 1% fee on winning trades, and that fee is recycled into SN41 buybacks. Losing trades aren't charged the fee.

Do I keep custody of my funds? Yes. Almanac uses Safe smart-contract wallets, so trades are self-custodied and settle on-chain via Polymarket. The terminal signs orders on your behalf using approvals you grant during setup.

Do I have to become a miner to use Almanac? No. You can trade purely as a user. Registering as a miner (linking a Bittensor coldkey) is optional and only necessary if you want to earn SN41 token emissions for your performance.

How is Almanac different from trading on Polymarket directly? Almanac adds an incentive and intelligence layer on top of Polymarket: a performance leaderboard, AI-driven context from the Sportstensor network, smart-wallet execution, and the ability to earn SN41 rewards. Your trades still settle on Polymarket's real order books.

Key Takeaways

Almanac is the front door to the Sportstensor ecosystem — a prediction market terminal that feels like a normal trading app but turns every trade into a scored prediction. It routes to Polymarket for real liquidity, uses smart proxy wallets for self-custody, charges just 1% on winning trades, and funnels that revenue into SN41 buybacks. Whether you're a discretionary trader, a quant, or an AI agent, Almanac is where being "accurate before it's obvious" actually pays.

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Learn more about the network powering it in our What Is Sportstensor? explainer, or read how the Polymarket partnership makes execution possible. Informational only; not financial advice.